Transportation & Logistics 2030: Volume 1

www.tl2030.com

October 2009

The first in a major new series of reports from PwC on the future of the Transport & Logistics industry reveals how energy prices, climate change and regional sourcing will drive fundamental changes by 2030.

Key findings:

Energy and emissions

• Oil prices will not rise in the order of magnitude necessary to threaten conventional transport.
• Reducing transport emissions will be a greater challenge for transport companies than the supply of energy.
• Costs related to the carbon footprint of logistics processes will be allocated to the causer.

Consumer behaviour

• Concerns about cost and carbon footprints will spur individuals to reduce holiday and business travel and consume more locally produced goods.

Supply chain design

• Decisions where to set up production sites will increasingly be influenced by transport costs. This will, however, not lead to a trend of ‘de-globalisation'.
• Supply chain design, including the location of production sites, will need to take energy and emission costs related to logistics processes into account.
• There will be no reverse of globalisation, but many supply networks will be established at a regional level.