Brexit next steps

Caroline Turnbull-Hall Director Regulation and Legal Issues, PwC United Kingdom 17/10/19

The European Council granted a extension to the Article 50 period to 31 October 2019, and Prime Minister Boris Johnson has indicated that the UK will leave the EU on that day “no ifs, or buts”. However, despite the European Council indicating that there would be no renegotiation of the Withdrawal Agreement, a revised draft deal was agreed on 17 October. There is limited Parliamentary time before exit day, and the position is developing rapidly, with future developments uncertain. This piece sets out the key dates up to and beyond the 31 October to determine what the next few days and weeks might have in store.

We have not included the timetable should a vote of no confidence in the Government be passed.

Note that this was correct at the time of writing, but events are moving quickly and we will update this to react to developments as they happen.

Date Milestone moment  
8 October Parliament prorogued to 14 October.  
9 October Inner House of Scottish Court of Sessions announces its intention to hold over the cases brought in relation to the Prime Minister's obligations under the Benn Act to 21 September.  

14 October

Start of the next Parliamentary session and the Queen’s Speech following prorogation on 8 October.

 
17 October “Fair and reasonable” agreement reached between the EU and the UK  

17 - 18 October 

European Council meeting.

 

19 October

Emergency sitting of Parliament to decide the future of Brexit.

If a deal has not been passed by the House of Commons, and MPs have not voted to support a no deal Brexit, the deadline (per the European Union (Withdrawal) (No 2) Act 2019) by which any extension of the Article 50 period must be requested.

 
21 October Inner House of the Court of Sessions to hear the case on the Prime Minister’s obligations under the Benn Act, on the first working day after the obligation expires, in the event that the obligation has not been complied with.  
21/22 October Vote on Queen’s Speech. If the motion is defeated, this could be followed by a motion of no confidence.  

28 October

If a motion of no confidence passes, the date by which an alternative government must be formed, to avoid a General Election.

 

31 October 

Exit day following the European Council’s decision of 10 April.

Mr Speaker Bercow stands down.

 

1 November

New European Commission term was due to start, but delayed due to rejection of three Commissioner candidates.

 
6 November Chancellor's Budget if the UK leaves with a deal on 31 October.  

28 November

Potential date for a post Brexit General Election.

 
1 December New European Commission expected to take office.  
12 December Latest estimated date for a pre Christmas General Election.  

12/13 December 

European Council meeting.

 

31 January 2020 

Anticipated extended date should an extension be requested (and granted) under the European Union (Withdrawal) (No 2) Act 2019 to prevent a no deal Brexit on 31 October 2019.

 

31 December 2020

End of transition period if a deal is agreed before a 31 October 2019 Brexit (assuming that the current implementation period in the Withdrawal Agreement is not amended), but no extension is granted.

 

31 December 2022

End of transition period if a deal is agreed before a 31 October 2019 Brexit (assuming that the current implementation period in the Withdrawal Agreement is not amended), and an extension is granted.

 

Contact us

Caroline Turnbull-Hall

Director Regulation and Legal Issues, PwC United Kingdom

Tel: +44 (0)7718 966482

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