Small DB pension schemes need to be flexible to ensure insurance buy-out, as PwC analysis shows funding remains strong

06 Oct 2023

The funding status for the UK’s 5,000-plus corporate defined benefit schemes continues to show that schemes, on average, have sufficient assets to ‘buyout’ their pension promises with insurance companies, according to PwC’s Buyout Index. 

Overall, the Buyout Index continues to show near record levels of funding with a surplus recorded this month of £215bn. However, the slight fall in the average estimate of the cost to schemes to ‘buyout’ their pension promises highlights the increased competitiveness of the buyout market, especially for smaller DB pension schemes. 

Meanwhile PwC’s Low Reliance Index has had a record month with a surplus of £365bn. This index assumes schemes invest in low-risk, income-generating assets like bonds, meaning they are unlikely to call on the sponsor for further funding.

John Dunn, head of pensions funding and transformation at PwC, said:

“Our analysis continues to highlight that the UK’s defined benefit schemes remain stable and many continue to explore the possibility of transferring their liabilities to an insurer. But, with such high demand and record deal volumes over the first half of this year, smaller schemes need to ensure that they can still tap into favourable insurer pricing.

“As we approach the end of the year, some insurers who have annual capital allocation targets will have used up most of their capital, whereas others who might have lost out in competitive processes may still have capital that they want to allocate before the year is out. This creates transient pockets of capacity for well prepared schemes to take advantage of. However, this capacity and appetite is changing rapidly as insurers win or lose deals. Schemes that stay close to the market will know where each insurer’s sweet spots are, and can tailor their approach based on this to optimise their pricing.”

Dweenisha Caleechurn, director in PwC’s risk transfer team, added:

“The key factor that’s driving the buyout approach and pricing is scheme size. We’re seeing a huge spread of pricing from insurers in the market - in fact, there could be up to a 10% difference between market leading pricing for larger schemes and average pricing for schemes at the smaller end of the spectrum. We’re also seeing significant variations in quotations for individual schemes - there’s not one single price out there, so using the right approach to ensure they get the best price is key.

”Insurers are being more selective, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t still opportunities for small schemes - they might just need to be accessed in a different way. Sponsors and trustees looking to transact with smaller schemes will likely find that being as flexible as possible or even working exclusively with one insurer will help them get the deal done.”

The PwC Low Reliance Index and PwC Buyout Index figures are as follows:

 

   

Low Reliance Index

Buyout Index

£ billions,

month end


Asset value

Liability value

Surplus / (Deficit)

Funding ratio

Liability value

Surplus / (Deficit)

Funding ratio

September 2023

1390

1,025

365

136%

1,175

215

118%

August 2023

1,390

1,030

360

135%

1,160

230

120%

July 2023

1,410

1,060

350

133%

1,200

210

118%

June 2023

1,390

1,060

330

131%

1,235

155

113%

May 2023

1,380

1,030

350

134%

1,180

200

117%

April 2023

1,425

1,105

320

129%

1,265

160

113%

March 2023

1,430

1,140

290

125%

1,310

120

109%

February 2023

1,415

1,090

325

130%

1,255

160

113%

January 2023

1,455

1,150

305

127%

1,290

165

113%

December 2022

1,410

1,105

305

128%

1,250

160

113%

November 2022

1,545

1,235

310

125%

1,430

115

108%

October 2022

1,495

1,165

330

128%

1,325

170

113%

September 2022

1,425 

1,130

295

126%

1,270

155

112%

Notes to the editor: 
 
  1. The PwC Indices measure the aggregate funding position of the UK's defined benefit schemes. The Low Reliance Index uses a discount rate assumption of gilt yields plus 0.5% pa. “Gilts plus” measures are often collectively referred to as funding targets where there is a low level of reliance on the company that ultimately supports the scheme.  The Buyout Index reflects PwC’s view of indicative market pricing based on their current experience of completing buy-in and buy-out transactions.
  2. The PwC Indices focus on liability value measures which schemes may be targeting in the long-term. These differ from other liability value measures, for example, those used for the purposes of preparing accounting disclosures or for the calculation of the levy payable to the Pension Protection Fund.
  3. The PwC Indices covers the whole universe of over 5,000 UK defined benefit pension funds. Some other market trackers cover just a minority subset (e.g. fewer than 10% of schemes), so may show different trends.
  4. The estimated asset value for the UK’s defined benefit pension schemes is based on monthly data from the PPF 7800 index, tracked over each month based on the movement in asset indices using data provided by Refinitiv.
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