UK defined benefit pension schemes review buy-out strategies, as funding levels reach record surplus

05 Jun 2023

An increase in long-term gilt yields during May reduced the estimated buyout cost for the UK’s 5,000-plus defined benefit pensions schemes, according to PwC analysis, which shows funding levels have reached a record surplus.

The PwC Buyout Index recorded a surplus of £200bn in May - the rise in gilt yields driving an increase of £40bn on the previous month. Meanwhile, the Low Reliance Index also continues to show a sizable surplus of £350bn. This index assumes schemes invest in low-risk, income-generating assets like bonds, meaning they are unlikely to call on the sponsor for further funding. 

John Dunn, head of pensions funding and transformation at PwC, said:

“The UK’s DB pension schemes continue to remain well funded, with rising gilt yields driving liability valuations down over the month. While insurance won’t be the right solution for every scheme, we’re now nearing the halfway point of what could well be the biggest year on record for the transfer of pension schemes to insurers. 

“We’re seeing new entrants being drawn to a hot demand driven market. At the same time, established insurers are also looking to boost the size of their bulk annuity teams to deal with demand. As a result, some insurers are specialising and becoming more focused on particular areas of the market and deal sizes. We are still seeing an appetite for schemes of all sizes - not all insurers focus on mega deals - but it will be more important than ever for sponsors and trustees to stay close to the market so that they understand capacity and demand for their particular scheme.”

Swapnil Katkar, head of pension risk transfer at PwC, added:

“This year, UK pension schemes have unexpectedly found themselves with better funding levels, causing a stampede among many schemes to execute an insurance based risk transfer. Although there is a robust rationale to this, we are also seeing pension trustees and corporate sponsors assessing the viability of an insurance transaction through both a ‘value-for-money test’ and an ‘affordability test’. For schemes planning to transfer their pension risk to a third party, they need to focus on assessing the suitability of any strategy from an affordability, value and execution readiness standpoint. This ensures that schemes can achieve an outcome that works for all parties, including their members, trustees and corporate sponsor.”

The PwC Low Reliance Index and PwC Buyout Index figures are as follows:

 

   

Low Reliance Index

Buyout Index

£ billions,

month end


Asset value

Liability value

Surplus / (Deficit)

Funding ratio

Liability value

Surplus / (Deficit)

Funding ratio

May 2023

1,380

1,030

350

134%

1,180

200

117%

April 2023

1,425

1,105

320

129%

1,265

160

113%

March 2023

1,430

1,140

290

125%

1,310

120

109%

February 2023

1,415

1,090

325

130%

1,255

160

113%

January 2023

1,455

1,150

305

127%

1,290

165

113%

December 2022

1,410

1,105

305

128%

1,250

160

113%

November 2022

1,545

1,235

310

125%

1,430

115

108%

October 2022

1,495

1,165

330

128%

1,325

170

113%

September 2022

1,425 

1,130

295

126%

1,270

155

112%

  1. The PwC Indices measure the aggregate funding position of the UK's defined benefit schemes. The Low Reliance Index uses a discount rate assumption of gilt yields plus 0.5% pa. “Gilts plus” measures are often collectively referred to as funding targets where there is a low level of reliance on the company that ultimately supports the scheme. The Buyout Index reflects PwC’s view of indicative market pricing based on their current experience of completing buy-in and buy-out transactions.

  2. The PwC Indices focus on liability value measures which schemes may be targeting in the long-term. These differ from other liability value measures, for example, those used for the purposes of preparing accounting disclosures or for the calculation of the levy payable to the Pension Protection Fund.

  3. The PwC Indices covers the whole universe of over 5,000 UK defined benefit pension funds. Some other market trackers cover just a minority subset (e.g. fewer than 10% of schemes), so may show different trends.

  4. The estimated asset value for the UK’s defined benefit pension schemes is based on monthly data from the PPF 7800 index, tracked over each month based on the movement in asset indices using data provided by Refinitiv.
     
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