CEOs are confronting economic concerns on a foundation for future growth

People in discussion

UK CEOs have expressed concern about the UK economy, and confidence about the growth prospects of their own business has also dropped over the past year. However, the UK remains in a relatively strong position in the eyes of many global business leaders.

The UK has held on to second position in terms of the countries global CEOs plan to invest in, outside their own. The UK has been joined in second by India and Germany, behind only the US. 

Carl Sizer, Chief Markets Officer, PwC UK, says: “Right now, it’s important to acknowledge that sentiment among UK CEOs is lower. Factors such as the cost of employment, slower economic growth and a desire for amendments to regulation in some sectors are weighing on their minds. But we’ve seen Government take some important steps such as the Industrial Strategy, sector plans and planning reform, all which signal a positive direction of travel. To unlock investment at scale and provide a greater impetus for growth, what business leaders now want to see is that intent to translate into real speed of execution.”

It’s true that investors, when they’re considering the UK, are of course considering options in other countries. That is the nature of the global market. But the UK is still a very attractive environment for investors. We have stability.

Dhara Vyas
Energy UK

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61%{{61%}}

of UK CEOs expect the UK economy to stay the same/decline this year (36% ‘stay the same’, 25% ‘decline’).

38%{{38%}}

of UK CEOs express high levels of confidence in their revenue growth over the next 12 months (down from 46% last year).

51%{{51%}}

of UK CEOs express high levels of confidence in their prospects for revenue growth over the next three years (down from 57% last year).

UK CEOs are feeling less exposed to risk

The UK is in a relatively strong position when it comes to risk exposure, underscoring the historical stability the UK has enjoyed compared to many other countries. 

On the risks monitored by the PwC CEO Survey, CEOs generally feel their exposure has gone down. And many UK CEOs feel less exposed than their global peers to the risk of significant financial losses related to issues such as macroeconomic volatility, geopolitical conflict and inflation. UK CEOs also expressed less concern about tariffs than their global peers—though this remains an issue particularly prone to ongoing uncertainty.

“The UK offers a strong foundation for long-term growth,” says Sizer. “Our relative stability should not be underestimated. UK CEOs are telling us they feel less exposed to threats than last year and less exposed than many of their counterparts around the world. They are also telling us that growth is not out of reach, especially for those who have taken bold moves to enter new markets or innovate with their products and services.”

Clarity is the most important thing for any business. You have to be clear on your own direction. But you also have to be clear on the legislation that is coming. You can’t be ahead of something you don’t know.

Avril Palmer-Lavery
Constellation Automotive Group

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Threat

UK CEOs feeling significant exposure  (change vs last year)

Global CEOs feeling significant exposure

Macroeconomic volatility

21% (↑4%)

31%

Technological disruption

18% (↑3%)

24%

Cyber risks

16% (↓5%)

31%

Inflation

11% (↓6%)

25%

Geopolitical conflict

10% (↓6%)

23%

Availability of key skills

10% (↓3%)

22%

Tariffs

  9% (n/a)

20%

Climate change

  3% (↓5%)

13%

Social inequality

  2% (↑1%)

 8%

  

We’ve got ambitious backers. We’ve got money to deploy. We just need the policies to be investment grade. And if they come, the opportunities are huge for the UK and for us as a business.

Michael Topham
Biffa

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We want to see stronger business investment driving growth, supported by government policies that create opportunities and support ambition.

Rain Newton-Smith
CBI

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Marco Amitrano

Marco Amitrano

Alliance Senior Partner, PwC UK & Middle East, PwC United Kingdom

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