Sharp quarterly decline sets back sentiment

PwC Consumer Sentiment Survey - Spring 2026

Young woman shopping

Consumer sentiment suffers its sharpest quarterly decline in four years, amid widespread concerns around household finances. All age groups are concerned about the rising cost of living, with most people planning short-term cutbacks and sentiment among the under-35s the hardest hit. The fall in sentiment reverses the gradual improvements made over the last year, putting retail and leisure groups back in familiar territory. Here, we look at how retailers and leisure sectors can respond.

-1 to -13

Biggest quarterly fall in consumer sentiment since June 2022

9 in 10

say the cost of living is the biggest concern

8 in 10

plan to cut back spending over the next three months

6 in 10

under-45s worry about job security or prospects

Sudden sentiment setback

Sentiment among UK consumers has tumbled to its lowest level since the nation was in a recession in September 2023. Dropping from –1 to –13, it is also the sharpest quarterly decline in sentiment since the onset of the Ukraine war four years ago. The decline reverses the cautious improvements in consumer sentiment seen over the last year and returns sentiment to its longer-term average of around –10 to –15.

Our Index, based on a survey of more than 2,000 UK adults conducted after the Easter Bank Holiday in April, shows consumer sentiment has fallen across all age groups. Older groups, along with those less affluent, seem to be better insulated against recent events, perhaps due to April’s benefit rises and triple-lock pension uprating.

However, all groups remain concerned and the speed of the decline in sentiment across the board signals sentiment is likely to weaken further as the full impact of higher food and energy costs is realised. In contrast to previous cost of living shocks, the gap between more and less affluent households has narrowed, while the gap between the young and old has widened.

“The fall in consumer sentiment gives retailers pause for thought. While the first quarter and first half of the year tend to be the low season for many, the prospect of a Golden Quarter with higher inflation will feel like the eye of the storm. Retailers will need to continue to position on value – ensuring they have a range of products for those who plan to trade down, as well as catering for those who are going to protect their spending in areas like fashion, health, and beauty.”

Jacqueline Windsor
UK Head of Retail, PwC UK

PwC Consumer Sentiment Index 2008-2026

“Thinking about your disposable income in the next 12 months, do you think your household will be...?”

Source: PwC Consumer Sentiment Index

Widespread cost of living concerns

Rising costs loom large for every age group, with nine of out 10 consumers naming cost of living as their biggest concern. Our research has found that for almost three quarters of consumers these concerns will have a direct impact on their spending or saving plans for the year ahead.

Every age group feels less financially “healthy” than in the previous quarter, revealing they don’t have any money left for luxuries or savings once they’ve paid for basics. Concerns around the cost of everyday things have risen across the board – these concerns were climbing in the previous quarter but have heightened in the wake of the Middle East conflict.

Younger people have seen the sharpest deterioration in perception of household finances, alongside rising anxiety around job security and housing costs. Among 25-34-year-olds there is a marked movement away from a post-election bounce of feeling financially “healthy” towards “struggling” or “in trouble”. The number of those who consider their finances “healthy” has almost halved in this age bracket - and there’s been an 8% increase in those “struggling” or “in trouble”.

Meanwhile, job security or prospects are a concern for more than 60% of under-45s and for 50% of skilled manual workers. Elsewhere, mortgage repayments or rent increases are a pressing concern for two-thirds of 25–44-year-olds.

With pay rises and benefit increases usually given in April, most people won’t be expecting any further increases in their income for the rest of the year. It follows then, that spending patterns are already shifting towards budgeting behaviours in anticipation of rising prices.

Concerns about personal and national issues

Looking ahead at the next 12 months, how concerned, if at all, are you about each of the following things?

Source: PwC Consumer Sentiment Index

Shift in short-term spending

Rising concerns around household finances has prompted a notable uptick in the number of people planning to cut back or change their spending habits. Eight out of 10 are planning short-term cutbacks, up from seven out of 10 in the previous quarter – a figure which had remained broadly unchanged since the start of the decade.

As the graphs below show, people plan to rein in short-term spending across every category, with notable increases in the number of consumers prioritising trading down to cheaper brands, going to cheaper stores and driving less, compared with three months ago. Longer term, spending intentions over the next year have also dropped across every category.

There are still pockets of opportunity for businesses, for example older consumers are less willing to cut back on groceries, and younger people are less willing to curb fashion, health, and beauty spending over other outgoings. The World Cup could also bring a welcome boost to pubs and retailers this summer – while some pent-up demand in holiday bookings may be released as England and Scotland’s fates are determined.

“This change in sentiment clearly suggests discretionary spending is set to be reined in by consumers in the short-term. While most of the downward swing in spending intentions is directed at retail moments, eating out and travel, hospitality and leisure companies also need to act now. For high street hospitality operators, this will mean continuing to focus on providing great experiences and communicating value for money offerings to drive footfall. Also, pubs, bars and other leisure and hospitality businesses will be hoping the World Cup this summer can provide a timely boost to trade. For holiday operators, offering consumer flexible terms and alternative options could help remove barriers to early bookings.”

Rick Jones
Hospitality and Leisure sector lead, PwC UK

Spending cutbacks intention by category

Over the next three months, do you expect to cut back your spending in any of the following ways?

Net spending intention

How do you expect your spending to change on the following categories over the next 12 months?

Note: Net spending intention is defined as the proportion of consumers who expect to spend more minus the proportion who expect to spend less

Looking ahead

Retailers, leisure operators, and hospitality groups are acutely aware of weakening consumer demand, and wary of the pressure it will add to unexpected energy and input cost headwinds. We believe the sector is right to prepare itself and should expect consumer sentiment to worsen before it improves.

Food prices, which are already on the rise, typically have the biggest influence on cost of living perceptions, and are expected to climb further. The energy price cap is also due to rise in July, and higher bills will bite more in the autumn when usage rises. Our Index confirms consumers are tightening their purse strings and intend to curb spending further – with plans to cut back or trade down as prices rise.

Taking action

Businesses should look carefully and quickly at shifting consumer behaviour and act now to protect key trading seasons ahead. Acknowledging your customers are under strain will help retain them in coming months and protect your business for tougher times ahead.

You can adapt quickly by returning to the lessons learned and actions taken in recent years – ensuring you scenario plan for higher food and energy costs and for Christmas now, monitoring demand closely, and considering any opportunities to transform.

Retailers and grocers should look to appeal to loyal shoppers who are cutting back or trading down, to discourage them from switching retailers. They need to offer ranges at different price points to help shoppers economise, while retaining premium own label ranges to allow shoppers affordable treats. They can also use personalisation and targeted promotions to make shoppers feel special and to reward loyalty.

Fashion and beauty operators can tap into more resilient demand from younger consumers, making spending feel justified through delivering the right level of newness with good value across all channels. Beyond the younger demographic, all age groups are likely to lean into small indulgences and ‘pick-me-ups' - the lipstick effect 2.0. Meanwhile, the second-hand market is no longer just about circularity but budget enablement, which traditional retailers can lean into through partnerships as well as their own resale platforms.

Hospitality and leisure groups are already taking action to drive footfall, offering value menus and deals, as well as experiences and special events, to retain frequency and pre-empt a trade down to in-home leisure experiences. As consumers feel the pinch further, businesses will need to offer value for money and shout louder to make themselves heard in a competitive market.

Travel and holiday groups are managing fuel-related cost pressures and logistics disruptions to protect the peak summer season, as well as navigating a booking profile driven by consumer caution. To support demand, they can remind people that holidays are non-negotiable and provide wellbeing benefits, with options to suit all demands and wallets. Buy now pay later schemes, flexible terms in case of unexpected events, and offering alternatives such as different destinations or cheaper options can also help overcome barriers to booking.

“With retail and consumer businesses more exposed to the current market conditions, now is the time for owners to look at whether transactions, either merger or divesting, or restructuring will put their organisations on a surer financial footing. Company insolvencies in the first quarter have already seen an increase month to month and with consumers cutting back, combined with the rising cost of fuel and inventory, we may see this trend continue.”

Zelf Hussain
Business Recovery Partner, PwC UK


This research is based on a nationally representative survey of 2,068 adults conducted between 10-13 April 2026.

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Sam Waller

Sam Waller

Leader of Industry for Consumer Markets, PwC United Kingdom

Tel: +44 (0)7850 515966

Jacqueline Windsor

Jacqueline Windsor

UK Head of Retail and Strategy& Partner, PwC United Kingdom

Tel: +44 (0)7801 074739

Kien Tan

Kien Tan

Senior Retail Adviser, PwC United Kingdom

Tel: +44 (0)7880 552726

Lisa Hooker

Lisa Hooker

Global FDD Leader and Retail, Consumer and Leisure Specialist, PwC United Kingdom

Tel: +44 (0)7802 882562

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